COVID-19 and Stock Market Reaction in Indonesia

Yanuar Trisnowati, Arianto Muditomo

Abstract


Research aims: COVID-19 Pandemic happens all over the world. Pandemic impact hits almost all elements of life, one of the affected real sectors is finance especially the stock market. This research is aimed to present the reaction of the equity market in Indonesia towards the COVID-19 pandemic

Design/Methodology/Approach: The research method that is used is the study to examine market reaction towards the pandemic and abnormal return around the occurrence by using two methods; mean-adjusted abnormal return and market model.

Research findings: From the research conducted over the 10 indicators of the stock market index in Indonesia, it is concluded that 8 industrial sectors that have tenacious reaction toward the COVID-19 pandemic hit in Indonesia, where it is also found that the agriculture sector; basic and chemical industry;  miscellaneous, consumer goods; property and real estate;  transport and infrastructure; finance; trade, service, and investment, give stronger reactions compared with mining and manufacture.

Theoretical contribution/Originality: Researches about the stock market reaction to the non-economy phenomenon have already been carried out, but the research that is specifically done to study sectoral index reaction towards the non-economy occurrences is still wide open to doing for deeper research.

Practitioner/Policy implication: This research can be important information for investors to understand the behavior of stock market efficiency in Indonesia in making decisions of investment

Research limitation/Implication: Non-economy event that becomes the subject of research is the COVID-19 pandemic that appeared and escalated fast all over the world. The researcher conducted the research and presented it as quickly as possible since the time is limited. It is meant to show a systematic and scientific thinking framework in addressing the non-economy events, but still in the context of reliability on the result of research to the same topic about the COVID-19 effect in other countries.

Keywords


COVID-19; Event-study; Indonesia Stock Market; Mean-Adjusted Abnormal Return; Market Model

Full Text:

PDF

References


AlAli, M. S. (2020). The effect of who COVID-19 announcement on Asian Stock Markets returns: an event study analysis. Journal of Economics and Business, 3(3), 1051-1054. https://doi.org/10.31014/aior.1992.03.03.261

Alam, M. N., Alam, M. S., & Chavali, K. (2020). Stock market response during COVID-19 lockdown period in India: An event study. Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business, 7(7), 131–137. https://doi.org/10.13106/jafeb.2020.vol7.no7.131

Andarini, D., & Rahardjo, T. (2016). Analisis reaksi pasar modal terhadap perubahan harga bbm (event study kenaikan dan penurunan harga BBM pada perusahaan food and beverages yang terdaftar di Bursa Efek Indonesia). Jurnal Ilmiah Mahasiswa Fakultas Ekonomi dan Bisnis, 3(2), 1-20. Retrieved from http://jimfeb.ub.ac.id/index.php/jimfeb/article/view/1840

Ashraf, B. N. (2020). Stock markets’ reaction to COVID-19: Cases or fatalities?. Research in International Business and Finance, 5(4), 101-249. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ribaf.2020.101249

Asshodiqi, A. (2016). Reaksi pasar modal terhadap peristiwa pelantikan Presiden tahun 2014 (event study pada saham LQ45, JII dan SMINFRA18). Jurnal Ilmiah Mahasiswa Fakultas Ekonomi dan Bisnis, 3(2), 21-30. Retrieved from http://jimfeb.ub.ac.id/index.php/jimfeb/article/view/1656

Baker, S. R., Bloom, N., Davis, S. J., Kost, K., Sammon, M., & Viratyosin, T. (2020). The unprecedented stock market reaction to COVID-19. NBER Working Paper Series. 1-22. https://doi.org/10.3386/w26945

Baldwin, R., & Mauro, B. W. di. (2020). Mitigating the COVID economic crisis: act fast and do whatever it takes. Research-based policy analysis and commentary from leading economists. Retrieved from https://voxeu.org/content/mitigating-COVID-economic-crisis-act-fast-and-do-whatever-it-takes

Barua, S. (2020). Understanding Coronanomics: The economic implications of the coronavirus (COVID-19) pandemic. SSRN Electronic Journal. 1-45. https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3566477

Bash, A. (2020). International evidence of COVID-19 and stock market returns: an event study analysis. International Journal of Economics and Financial Issues, 10(4), 34–38. https://doi.org/10.32479/ijefi.9941

Brown, S. J., & Warner, J. B. (1985). Using daily stock returns. The case of event studies. Journal of Financial Economics, 14(1), 3–31. https://doi.org/10.1016/0304-405X(85)90042-X

Dodd, P., & Warner, J. B. (1983). On corporate governance. A study of proxy contests. Journal of Financial Economics, 11(1-4), 401–438. https://doi.org/10.1016/0304-405X(83)90018-1

He, P., Sun, Y., Zhang, Y., & Li, T. (2020). COVID–19’s Impact on Stock Prices Across Different Sectors—An Event Study Based on the Chinese Stock Market. Emerging Markets Finance and Trade, 56(10), 2198–2212. https://doi.org/10.1080/1540496X.2020.1785865

Huo, X., & Qiu, Z. (2020). How does China’s stock market react to the announcement of the COVID-19 pandemic lockdown?. Economic and Political Studies, 1–26. https://doi.org/10.1080/20954816.2020.1780695

Islami, L. N., & Sarwoko, E. (2012). Reaksi pasar modal Indonesia terhadap pergantian Menteri Keuangan ( event study saham yang terdaftar di BEI ). Modernisasi, 8(1), 44–67. Retrieved from http://ejournal.unikama.ac.id/index.php/JEKO/article/view/206

Liu, H., Manzoor, A., Wang, C., Zhang, L., & Manzoor, Z. (2020). The COVID-19 outbreak and affected countries stock markets response. International Journal of Environmental Research and Public Health, 17(8), 1–19. https://doi.org/10.3390/ijerph17082800

Luhur, S. (2010). Reaksi pasar modal Indonesia seputar pemilihan umum 8 juli 2009 pada saham LQ-45. Jurnal Keuangan dan Perbankan, 14(2), 249–262. Retrieved from http://jurnal.unmer.ac.id/index.php/jkdp/article/view/971

Nanda, R., & Saryadi, S. (2017). Reaksi pasar modal Indonesia terhadap kebijakan tax amnesty Indonesia pada saham LQ45 tahun 2016-2017. Jurnal Ilmu Administrasi Bisnis, 6(4), 144-156. Retrieved from https://ejournal3.undip.ac.id/index.php/jiab/article/view/17606

Narjoko, D. (2020). COVID-19 and Southeast and East Asian Economic Integration : Understanding the Consequences for the Future. Economic Research Institute for ASEAN and East Asia, 1–7. Retrieved from https://www.eria.org/uploads/media/policy-brief/COVID-19-and-Southeast-and-East-Asian-Economic-Integration.pdf

Ningsih, E. R., & Cahyaningdyah, D. (2014). Reaksi pasar modal Indonesia terhadap pengumuman kenaikan harga BBM 22 Juni 2013. Management Analysis Journal, 3(1), 1-5. Retrieved from https://journal.unnes.ac.id/sju/index.php/maj/article/view/3352

Pratama, I. G. B., Sinarwati, N. K., & Dharmawan, N. A. S. (2015). Reaksi pasar modal indonesia terhadap peristiwa politik (event study pada peristiwa pelantikan Joko Widodo sebagai Presiden Republik Indonesia ke-7). Jurnal Ilmiah Mahasiswa Akutansi Undiksha, 3(13), 1–11. http://dx.doi.org/10.23887/jimat.v3i1.4754

Pratomo, M. N. (2020, October 1). Prospek pasar saham: cermati sektor tahan banting. Available at Bisnis Indonesia. Retrieved from https://koran.bisnis.com/m/read/20201001/441/1298915/prospek-pasar-saham-cermati-sektor-tahan-banting

Ruiz Estrada, M. A., & Lee, M. (2020). How COVID-19 can Affect the Worldwide Stock Markets?. SSRN Electronic Journal. Retrieved from https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3591698

Sari, S. T. (2007). Pengaruh kondisi keamanan dalam negeri terhadap harga saham di Bursa Efek Jakarta (event study peristiwa bom Kuningan). Undergraduate Thesis. Retrieved from http://eprints.ums.ac.id/id/eprint/11343

Suganda, T. R. (2018). Event study, teori dan pembahasan reaksi pasar modal Indonesia. Malang: Seribu Bintang.

Suryawijaya, M. A., & Setiawan, F. A. (1998). Reaksi pasar modal Indonesia terhadap peristiwa politik dalam negeri (event study pada peristiwa 27 Juli 1996). Jurnal Kelola, 7(18), 137–153. Retrieved from http://i-lib.ugm.ac.id/jurnal/detail.php?dataId=8272

Utama, C. A., & Hapsari, L. (2012). Jenis industri, kepemilikan saham asing dan reaksi pasar modal akibat serangan bom teroris. Jurnal Akuntansi dan Keuangan Indonesia, 9(2), 100–116. https://doi.org/10.21002/jaki.2012.07

Wagner, A. F. (2020). What the stock market tells us about the post-COVID-19 world. Nature Human Behaviour, 4(May), 1-20. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41562-020-0869-y

Wardhani, L. S. (2012). Reaksi pasar modal Indonesia terhadap peristiwa pemilihan gubernur DKI Jakarta putaran II 2012 (event study pada saham anggota indeks kompas 100). Jurnal Ilmiah Mahasiswa FEB, 1(1), 129–142. Retrieved from https://jimfeb.ub.ac.id/index.php/jimfeb/article/view/171

WHO. (2020). WHO Coronavirus Disease (COVID-19). Retrieved from WHO Coronavirus Disease (COVID-19). Available at: https://COVID19.who.int/?gclid=EAIaIQobChMIzcf9pbSJ7AIVe9xMAh26pQmwEAAYASABEgIykPD_BwE

Wibowo, A. (2017). Reaksi investor pasar modal Indonesia terhadap paket kebijakan ekonomi tahap I Jokowi – JK ( Studi pada saham LQ 45 periode Agustus 2015 – Februari 2016 ). Media Ekonomi dan Manajemen, 32(1), 58-70. https://doi.org/10.24856/mem.v32i1.452

Xiong, H., Wu, Z., Hou, F., & Zhang, J. (2020). Which firm-specific characteristics affect the market reaction of Chinese listed companies to the COVID-19 Pandemic? Emerging Markets Finance and Trade, 56(10), 2231–2242. https://doi.org/10.1080/1540496X.2020.1787151

Yuwono, A. (2013). Reaksi pasar modal di bursa efek Indonesia terhadap pengumuman peristiwa bencana banjir yang melanda Daerah Khusus Ibu Kota Jakarta tahun 2013. Nominal, Barometer Riset Akuntansi dan Manajemen, 2(2), 135–150. https://doi.org/10.21831/nominal.v2i2.1668

Zeren, F., & Hizarci, A. (2020). The impact of COVID-19 Coronavirus on stock markets: Evidence from selected countries. Muhasebe ve Finans İncelemeleri Dergisi, 1, 78–84. https://doi.org/10.32951/mufider.706159




DOI: https://doi.org/10.18196/jai.v22i1.8859

Refbacks

  • There are currently no refbacks.




Office:
Ruang Jurnal Fakultas Ekonomi dan Bisnis UMY
Gedung Ki Bagus Hadikusuma (E4) Lantai 2, Kampus Terpadu Universitas Muhammadiyah Yogyakarta,
Jalan Brawijaya (Lingkar Selatan), Tamantirto, Kasihan, Bantul, Daerah Istimewa Yogyakarta, Indonesia, 55183
Website: journal.umy.ac.id/index.php/ai - E-mail: jai@umy.ac.id

Journal of Accounting and Investment is licensed under Creative Commons Attribution Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivatives 4.0 International License

View My Stats