Does the Sleman Chili Auction Market Affect the Local, Regional and National Market Prices in Indonesia?

Jamhari Jamhari, Muh Amat Nasir, Agus Dwi Nugroho, Ismiasih Ismiasih, Hitoshi Yonekura

Abstract


Promoting the horticultural auction market as an alternative outlet is becoming more popular. The horticultural auction market has some benefits, such as reducing price volatility and controlling inflation. This research used a case study in Sleman Regency, which established a horticultural auction market to manage volatile chili prices. The daily price data with ECM-GARCH analysis was used to investigate market integration between the Sleman chili auction market and other markets. The result showed that the Sleman auction market had a beneficial impact on the price decline in the local markets. This impact indicated that the auction market controls inflation at the regional level. However, only 5% to 13% of daily variations of the long-term equilibrium of the auction market to other markets were adjusted. There was information efficiency of the chili prices in Indonesia based on the GARCH model. This study proves that auction markets promote control of macro inflation. This study was the first to manage horticultural product price risk from a chili auction market perspective. Moreover, the model applied in this study expands the ECM-GARCH model to improve the validity of an ECM's significance tests and the efficiency of standard ECM parameter estimation.


Keywords


Auction market; Chili; ECM; GARCH; Market integration

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References


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DOI: https://doi.org/10.18196/agraris.v8i2.15654

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