THE IMPACT OF NATURAL GAS DEMAND ON RENEWABLE ENERGY DEVELOPMENT: A PANEL INVESTIGATION OF SIX ASIAN COUNTRIES

Annisa R.A Larasati Sudaryanto

Abstract


The aim of this study is to assess the causal relationship of natural gas demand on the development of renewable energy in East and Southeast Asia. Specifically, the study examine the growth of natural gas and renewable energy consumption in both regions , determine the correlation of both energies and then measure the significant magnitude of the macroeconomic indicators in order to determine the development of renewable energy. The focus on the study was one Asian countries including China, Japan, South Korea to represent East Asia and Malaysia, Indonesia and Thailand to represent Southeast Asia. These countries are selected since they have contribute to the largest consumption in natural gas among other Asian countries. Although each of these countries have large potential renewable energy resource, these research found there are similar potential resources among the countries in each region. The quantitative research approach was applied to suit the time series secondary data collection.  Panel data model then applied to enable researcher to determine the significant of macroeconomic indicators towards the development of renewable energy in East and Southeast Asia. With total of 90 observations, the macroeconomic variables include: natural gas consumption, GDP per capita, economic growth, exchange rate and access to electricity from period 2000-2014. Based on regression analysis, the findings revealed there is a significant coefficient between natural gas consumption on renewable energy development. A high consumption of natural gas would drive up the share of renewable energy to total final energy consumed. It is because these energy sources are not competitors yet complementary. However, the coefficient magnitude in Southeast Asia is higher than in East Asia. Consequently, other macroeconomic indicators such as exchange rate, GDP and electricity consumption has different effect on each region. These indicators can help the policy makers to improve the renewable energy policy which currently being implemented in order to induce the pace of renewable energy development in Asia.


Keywords


Natural gas demand; Renewable energy; Macroeconomic variables

Full Text:

PDF

References


Ahmad, S. & Tahar, R. M. (2014). Selection of Renewable Energy Sources for Sustainable Development of Electricity Generation System using Analytic Hierarchy Process: A Case of Malaysia. Renewable Energy, 63, 458-466. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.renene.2013.10.001

Ahmad, S., Ab-Kadir, M. Z. A., & Shafie, S. (2011). Current Perspective of the Renewable Energy Development in Malaysia. Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, 15(2), 897-904. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.rser.2010.11.009

Apergis, N. & Payne, J. E. (2010). Renewable Energy Consumption and Growth in Eurasia. Energy Economics, 32(6), 1392-1397. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.en-eco.2010.06.001

Aras, H., Erdoğmuş, Ş., & Koç, E. (2004). Multi-Criteria Selection for a Wind Observation Station Location using Analytic Hierarchy Process. Renewable Energy, 29(8), 1383-1392. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.renene.2003.12.020

Balestra, P. & Nerlove, M. (1966). Pooling Cross Section and Time Series Data in the Estimation of a Dynamic Model: The Demand for Natural Gas. Econometrica: Journal of the Econometric Society, 34(3), 585-612. https://doi.org/10.2307/1909771

Baltagi, B. H., Bratberg, E., & Holmås, T. H. (2005). A Panel Data Study of Physicians' Labor Supply: The Case of Norway. Health Economics, 14(10), 1035-1045. https://doi.org/10.1002/hec.991

Beck, F. & Martinot, E. (2004). Renewable Energy Policies and Barriers. Encyclopedia of Energy, 5(7), 365-383. https://doi.org/10.1016/b0-12-176480-x/00488-5

Berry, D. (2005). Renewable Energy as a Natural Gas Price Hedge: The Case of Wind. Energy Policy, 33(6), 799-807. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.enpol.2003.10.005

BP Outlook. (2017). BP Energy Outlook 2017 Edition. Online. Retrieved from: https://www.bp.com/content/dam/bp/pdf/energy-economics/energy-outlook-2017/bp-energy-outlook-2017.pdf

BP Statistical Review. (2015). BP Statistical Review of World Energy June 2015. 64th Ed. Online. Retrieved from: https://www.bp.com/content/dam/bp-country/es_es/spain/documents/downloads/PDF/bp-statistical-review-of-world-energy-2015-full-report.pdf

BP Statistical Review. (2018). BP Statistical Review of World Energy. 67th Ed. Online. Retrieved from: https://www.bp.com/content/dam/bp/en/corporate/pdf/energy-economics/statistical-review/bp-stats-review-2018-full-report.pdf

Cochran, J., Zinaman, O. Logan, J., & Arent, D. (2014). Exploring the Potential Business Case for Synergies Between Natural Gas and Renewable Energy. NREL-JISEA. https://doi.org/10.2172/1126261

Dincer, I. (2000). Renewable Energy and Sustainable Development: A Crucial Review. Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, 4(2), 157-175. https://doi.org/10.1016/s1364-0321(99)00011-8

EIA. (2017). Annual Energy Outlook 2017 with Projections to 2050. Online. Retrieved from: https://www.eia.gov/outlooks/aeo/pdf/0383(2017).pdf

European Parliament. (2012). Study Assessing Consumer Understanding of a Draft Energy Label for Electronic Displays. Online. Retrieved from: https://ec.europa.eu/energy/en/studies/study-assessing-consumer-understanding-draft-energy-label-electronic-displays

Fattouh, B. & Mahadeva, L. (2013). OPEC: What Difference Has It Made?. Annual Review of Resource Economics 5(1), 427-443. https://doi.org/10.1146/annurev-resource-091912-151901

Gujarati, D. N. (2004). Econometría. McGraw-Hill.

Hosseini, S. E., Wahid, M. A., & Ganjehkaviri, A. (2015). An Overview of Renewable Hydrogen Production from Thermochemical Process of Oil Palm Solid Waste in Malaysia. Energy Conversion and Management 94, 415-429. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.enconman.2015.02.012

Institute for Sustainable Energy Policies. (2018). Renewable Energy Policies and the Energy Transition in Japan. Online. Retrieved from: https://www.isep.or.jp/en/wp/wp-content/uploads/2018/10/Study_Matsubara201809.pdf

International Gas Union. (2015). World LNG Report 2015 Edition. World Gas Conference Edition. Online. Retrieved from: https://www.igu.org/sites/default/files/node-page-field_file/IGU-World%20LNG%20Report-2015%20Edition.pdf

International Renewable Energy Agency. (2017). Renewable Energy Prospects: Indonesia. Online. Retrieved from: https://www.irena.org/-/media/Files/IRENA/Agency/Publication/2017/Mar/IRENA_REmap_Indonesia_report_2017.pdf

Kaygusuz, K. (2007). Energy for Sustainable Development: Key Issues and Challenges. Energy Sources, Part B: Economics, Planning, and Policy 2 (1), 73-83

Kim, G., Lee, M. E., Lee, K. S., Park, J., Jeong, W. M., Kang, S. K., Soh, J., & Kim, H. (2012). An Overview of Ocean Renewable Energy Resources in Korea. Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews 16, (4), 2278-2288. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.rser.2012.01.040

Klass, D. L. (2003). A Critical Assessment of Renewable Energy Usage in the USA. Energy Policy 31 (4), 353-367

Kumar, S., Kwon, H., Choi, K., Cho, J. H., Lim, W., & Moon, I. (2011). Current Status and Future Projections of LNG Demand and Supplies: A Global Prospective. Energy Policy 39(7), 4097-4104. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.enpol.2011.03.067

Lesser, J. A. & Su, X. (2008). Design of an Economically Efficient Feed-in Tariff Structure for Renewable Energy Development. Energy Policy 36(3), 981-990. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.enpol.2007.11.007

Malik, H. (2009). CO2 conundrum: how do we reduce it in buildings?. Renewable Energy Focus, 10(6), 42-47. https://doi.org/10.1016/s1755-0084(09)70234-0

Rew, L., Koniak-Griffin, D., Lewis, M. A., Miles, M., & O'Sullivan, A. (2000). Secondary Data Analysis: New Perspective for Adolescent Research. Nursing Outlook, 48(5), 223-229. https://doi.org/10.1067/mno.2000.104901

Reynolds, D. B. & Kolodziej, M. (2008). Former Soviet Union Oil Production and GDP Decline: Granger Causality and the Multi-Cycle Hubbert Curve. Energy Economics, 30(2), 271-289. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.eneco.2006.05.021

Sadorsky, P. (2009). Renewable Energy Consumption and Income in Emerging Economies. Energy Policy, 37(10), 4021-4028. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.enpol.2009.05.003

Sensfuß, F., Ragwitz, M., & Genoese, M. (2008). The Merit-Order Effect: A Detailed Analysis of the Price Effect of Renewable Electricity Generation on Spot Market Prices in Germany. Energy Policy, 36(8), 3086-3094. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.en-pol.2008.03.035

Setser, B. & Roubini, N. (2004). The Effects of the Recent Oil Price Shock on the US and Global Economy.

Sovacool, B. K. (2010). A Comparative Analysis of Renewable Electricity Support Mechanisms for Southeast Asia. Energy, 35(4), 1779-1793. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.energy.2009.12.030

Stern, J. & Holder, S. (1999). Regulatory Governance: Criteria for Assessing the Performance of Regulatory Systems: An Application to Infrastructure Industries in the Developing Countries of Asia. Utilities Policy, 8(1), 33-50. https://doi.org/10.1016/s0957-1787(99)00008-9

UCSUA. (2017). Barriers to Renewable Energy Technologies. Online. Retrieved from: https://www.ucsusa.org/clean-energy/renewable-energy/barriers-to-renewable-energy#.XB4SJ1X7TIV

World Bank. (2015). The World Bank Data. Online. Retrieved from: https://data.worldbank.org/indicator/NY.GDP.PCAP.CD




DOI: https://doi.org/10.18196/jesp.20.1.5015

Refbacks

  • There are currently no refbacks.


Copyright (c) 2019 Jurnal Ekonomi & Studi Pembangunan

Creative Commons License
This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-ShareAlike 4.0 International License.


 

Office:
Redaksi JESP UMY, Gedung E2 Lantai 2, Fakultas Ekonomi dan Bisnis, Universitas Muhammadiyah Yogyakarta
Jalan Brawijaya, Tamantirto, Kasihan, Bantul, Daerah Istimewa Yogyakarta 55183
Telp: (0274) 387656 ext.184
Fax: (0274) 387646
Email: jesp@umy.ac.id


Jurnal Ekonomi & Studi Pembangunan (JESP) is licensed under Creative Commons Attribution-ShareAlike 4.0 International.